Okay, it's very, VERY early, which is exactly what I said about the poll showing President Obama by 8 before the recall. But it is Romney's first lead EVER in Wisconsin, so it is significant for that reason alone. It seems hard to believe the recall wasn't a factor, but let's face it, it's been a dismal couple of weeks for the Gaffer in Chief.

And June could still get a lot worse; Obamacare and the Arizona immigration law rulings are coming from Scotus, as is the Eric Holder contempt vote, Leakgate, etc. Bottom line, Wisconsin is now officially in play. Whether it stays in play until November remains to be seen.