I'm going to be honest; I'm not shocked that this poll shows Baldwin back in the lead. This has been the most unconventional series of polls I've ever seen in any race. I thought Tommy did well in the first debate, I felt the second and third were muddled messes for both candidates. I still believe Tommy can win this, but I think it's going to be a battle from here to Tuesday.

The eight point Obama lead is diffcult to imagine. Every indication is the race has tightened in Wisconsin, as the previous MU polls reflected. The behavior of the respective campaigns in the next five days will tell you what they think of these polls.