BUDAPEST (Reuters) – Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban’s ruling Fidesz party extended its lead to two percentage points over an opposition alliance in a mid-March survey ahead of the April 3 election.
The poll, conducted by Republikon between March 16 and 18, put support for nationalist Orban’s Fidesz at 41% of the electorate, up one point from February levels, while the opposition was unchanged at 39%.
Orban’s path to re-election is complicated by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, which has put his decade-long close relations with Russian President Vladimir Putin in a new light.
Hungary will not send any weapons to Ukraine and will stay out of the war, Orban told a rally of his supporters last week.
Weeks after the Feb. 24 invasion, the poll showed 57% of respondents thought EU-member Hungary’s allies were in the West rather than in the East.
Orban faces a united, six-party opposition front for the first time since taking office in a 2010 election landslide.
The opposition alliance includes the Democratic Coalition, the Socialists, liberals and the formerly far-right, now centre-right, Jobbik. Its candidate for prime minister is Peter Marki-Zay, an independent who is currently mayor of Hodmezovasarhely, a town in southern Hungary.
The ranks of the undecided were flat at 16%, according to Republikon. Among decided voters, Fidesz had 49% support, while the opposition alliance scored 46%.
Republikon said the outcome of the vote would depend on which side can mobilise its voters in the run-up to the election and which side can better appeal to the undecided. Republikon said 67% of the electorate said they would definitely vote.
Republikon also surveyed attitudes to the introduction of the euro to replace the forint – a key plank in the opposition’s campaign – and said 46% of respondents were in support, while 31% thought it was unnecessary. Most Fidesz voters do not want the euro, while 79% of opposition voters would adopt the common currency.
DATE AGENCY FIDESZ OPPOSITION UNDECIDED
March 16-18 Republikon
39 16
41
March 2-11 IDEA 40 37 11
Feb 18-24 Republiko 39 16
n 40
Feb 22-26 Median 39 32 20
Jan 31-Feb 9 IDEA 38 34 13
Feb 2-10 Zavecz 38 36 20
Jan 20-25 36 34 22
Republiko
n
Jan 4-14 IDEA 39 37 10
Dec 4-7 Median 39 34 13
Dec 9-14 Republikon 33 36 24
Nov 2-12 Zavecz 37 41 14
Nov 2-3 Nezopont 56 42 2
Oct 25-29 Republikon 32 38 30
Oct 11-19 Zavecz 35 39 23
Sept 29-Oct 4 Median 37 37 17
Oct Szazadveg 50 44 6
Sept Zavecz 37 38 23
Sept 20-21 Nezopont 53 45 N/A
Aug 23-25 Nezopont 52 46 N/A
(Reporting by Krisztina Than; Editing by Nick Macfie)
