Former President Trump & President Biden - AP Photo/Alex Brandon
WAUSAU, WI (WSAU) – The latest Marquette Law poll is out, and the race for Wisconsin’s electoral votes remains tight between former President Trump and President Biden.
According to the poll, Trump currently leads Biden by 40% to 37% in the Badger State in a five-way race, with Robert Kennedy Jr. earning 17% of the vote and Jill Stein and Cornell West earning another 3% each. These figures show a slight rise in support for third-party candidates since March, with Kennedy Jr.’s support going up three percentage points from 14%, while Stein saw just a one percentage point boost during the same period.
Among likely voters, Trump’s lead remains virtually unchanged at 44% to Biden’s 41%, with Kennedy Jr. coming in at 11%. When respondents were asked if former president Trump was found guilty in the alleged “hush money” trial or the classified documents case, Biden’s advantage rose to a four-point lead at 43% to 39% over Trump. However, the total of third-party candidate support also rose in that scenario, with 18% stating they’d likely support someone else.
When respondents were asked who they’d support if Trump was found not guilty in the cases, his lead ballooned to a six-point advantage over Biden at 44%–38%, but the total of third-party support remained unchanged at 18%. In a five-way race, Kennedy Jr.’s support was split nearly evenly between Republicans and Democrats, with 15% of Republicans saying they planned to vote for him and 16% of Democrats saying the same.
When it came to favorability ratings between the candidates, Vice President Kamala Harris had the highest net negative rating at -24%, while President Biden was closely behind at -21% and former President Trump at -17%. Those totals held when respondents were asked which president had the better job performance during their time in office, with 40% saying Biden and 46% saying Trump, which was also seen when the job performance was broken down by the issues. Former President Trump held large leads on several issues, including immigration and border security with 52% to 25% support, the economy with a 50% to 29% advantage, and handling the war between Israel and Hamas with 42% to 28%. President Biden saw just two leads on issues, which were Medicare and Social Security at 40% to 35% and healthcare at 41% to 32%.
Respondents also indicated that age continues to be a factor in who will be supported. In November, 79% said the phrase “too old to be president” fit President Biden, while 54% said the same for Trump.
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