Vice President Kamala Harris vs Former President Donald Trump - Photo by CNN
WASHINGTON D.C. (WSAU) – As many wait to see who Vice President Kamala Harris selects as her running mate on the 2024 Democratic ticket, new national polls show Harris ahead of former President Donald Trump.
According to national pollster Nate Silver, Harris’ odds of winning come November have jumped up to 53% after Trump had a 60% chance of retaking the White House on July 30th. His model also found that if the election were held today, Harris would win the electoral college by 282 to 255 due to her likelihood of winning swing states like Michigan grew to 64%, Wisconsin growing to 57%, and Pennsylvania growing to 56%, while Trump still holds wide leads in both Georgia and Arizona.
Other notable polls include CBS News’s latest poll, in which Harris is ahead of Trump by two percentage points, mainly due to her 59% lead with voters 18–29 and her 55% lead with voters 30-44. The poll also found that the two candidates are currently tied at 50% in battleground states.
Harris’ polling surge comes as Trump looks to put the economic spotlight on the Vice President, calling Monday’s 1,000+ point Dow Jones drop the “Kamala Crash,” which pushed investors into purchases involving safer options such as the “Magnificent Seven,” which includes Amazon, Apple, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Alphabet, Tesla, and Nvidia.
“Markets will never accept the Radical Left Lunatic that destroyed San Francisco and California as a whole. Next move: THE GREAT DEPRESSION OF 2024! You can’t play games with markets. KAMALA CRASH!!!” Trump said in a post on Truth Social and continued by saying, “VOTERS HAVE A CHOICE — TRUMP PROSPERITY, OR THE KAMALA CRASH & GREAT DEPRESSION OF 2024, NOT TO MENTION THE PROBABILITY OF WORLD WAR lll IF THESE VERY STUPID PEOPLE REMAIN IN OFFICE. REMEMBER, TRUMP WAS RIGHT ABOUT EVERYTHING!!!”
Only three months remain until the US presidential election, and the direction that markets go in the next several weeks could have an impact on the result. Adam Turnquist, chief technical analyst at LPL Financial, made this determination based on his analysis. Turnquist shows that since 1928, the incumbent party has held the White House 80% of the time “whenever the S&P 500 SPX -3.14% was positive during the three months leading up to an election.”
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