By Marcelo Teixeira
April 29 (Reuters) – Brazil’s 2026/27 coffee crop, which officially starts in July, is expected to grow 11.5% from the previous season due to better climate conditions and good crop care, according to a survey of farmers conducted by the Coffee Trading Academy (CTA).
The 758 farmers from all producing regions in Brazil, the world’s largest producer and exporter, were asked to give their estimates in percentage points of how much more coffee they thought they would produce this year, CTA said.
The academy applied the 11.5% indicated by farmers to its estimates and projected a total crop of 71.4 million 60-kg bags, a record.
Arabica coffee production was projected at 47.9 million bags, up 13.5% year-on-year, while robusta output was estimated at 23.5 million bags, a 7.6% increase.
Total acreage under coffee production expanded 2.97% year-on-year, the survey found, with arabica area up 2.7% and robusta area up 3.6%.
Rainfall was cited as the key driver of the crop’s strong outlook. Some 63.5% of farmers said off-season rain had a major positive impact on their crops.
Fertilizer application rose a moderate 5.4% from the prior season, farmers said. CTA analysts believe elevated coffee prices allowed producers to apply adequate levels of agricultural inputs.
The estimate of 71.4 million bags is the third in a series of CTA surveys tracking Brazil’s 2026/27 crop. It is higher than a November 2025 survey that projected 69 million bags but below an initial July 2025 estimate of 73.7 million bags.
(Reporting by Marcelo Teixeira in New York; Editing by David Gregorio)
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